NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races at this track and is the 9-4 preferred to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a solid start to his period that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, be sure to check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Plus it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at venues like ISM Raceway have been in his blood. His version has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you the version is top on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a target for anybody searching for a huge payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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